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ECMWF AIFS operational and ensemble now on GribStream

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AIFS operational and ensemble datasets are live, providing AI-based global forecasts with both deterministic and probabilistic outputs.

On July 31, 2025, we added ECMWF AIFS Operational and AIFS Ensemble datasets. This brings AI-driven global forecasts into the same API you already use for numerical models.

About AIFS

AIFS is ECMWF's AI-based global forecasting system. The open-data subset runs on a 0.25 deg global grid with 00/06/12/18 UTC cycles and 6-hourly steps out to 360 h (15 days).

  • AIFS Oper provides a single best-estimate forecast.
  • AIFS Enfo provides a 51-member ensemble (50 perturbed + 1 control) for probabilistic workflows.

Why it matters

AI forecasts are now operationally relevant, and ensembles let you quantify uncertainty instead of relying on a single scenario. With AIFS in GribStream, you can:

  • Compare AI vs. physics guidance (AIFS vs. IFS).
  • Build percentiles and probability of exceedance products.
  • Run backtests using as-of time travel for consistent evaluation.

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