GribStream

Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS Atmos Mean)

GribStream Code: gefsatmosmean

Description

The Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) is a probabilistic weather prediction system managed by NOAA. It utilizes multiple ensemble members to generate a range of possible outcomes, enhancing the ability to assess weather uncertainties and probabilities. The ensemble approach helps to capture the range of possible weather scenarios by running slightly different initial conditions or model configurations, which are referred to as ensemble members or components.

The GEFS Atmos Ensemble Mean is a statistical aggregation of all atmospheric ensemble members, providing a single, representative forecast from the GEFS system. This mean forecast smooths out the variability inherent in individual ensemble members, offering a balanced and reliable view of expected atmospheric conditions such as temperature, wind, and precipitation. The ensemble mean is commonly used as a baseline in risk management, operational planning, and research, giving users a robust and stable prediction while still acknowledging underlying forecast uncertainties.

Detail

Parameters

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Click a parameter to reveal variants in a compact table with ready-to-copy JSON selectors.

CAPE –Convective Available Potential Energy (J/kg)
2 variants
NOAA GRIB2

Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) quantifies buoyant energy available to rising air parcels. Larger values generally imply stronger potential updrafts and greater convective intensity.

  • Units: J/kg.
  • Often used with CIN and lifting mechanisms to assess thunderstorm potential.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
180-0 mb above ground ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"CAPE","level":"180-0 mb above ground","info":"ens mean"}
surface ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"CAPE","level":"surface","info":"ens mean"}
CIN –Convective Inhibition (J/kg)
2 variants
NOAA GRIB2

Convective Inhibition (CIN) measures the energy barrier that must be overcome to initiate convection. More negative values indicate a stronger cap that can suppress storms.

  • Units: J/kg.
  • When CIN is weak and CAPE is high, convection is more likely.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
180-0 mb above ground ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"CIN","level":"180-0 mb above ground","info":"ens mean"}
surface ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"CIN","level":"surface","info":"ens mean"}
DPT –Dew Point Temperature (K)
1 variant
NOAA GRIB2 Table 4.2-0-0

Dew point temperature is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated. It is a direct measure of moisture content.

  • Units: K.
  • When dew point is close to air temperature, fog or low cloud potential increases.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
2 m above ground ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"DPT","level":"2 m above ground","info":"ens mean"}
GUST –Wind Speed (Gust) (m/s)
1 variant
NOAA GRIB2 Table 4.2-0-2

Wind gust is the peak short-duration wind speed. It captures brief, hazardous bursts that can exceed sustained winds.

  • Units: m/s.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
surface ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"GUST","level":"surface","info":"ens mean"}
HGT –Geopotential Height (gpm)
2 variants
NOAA GRIB2 Table 4.2-0-3

Geopotential height is the altitude of a pressure surface in the atmosphere. It is the primary field for identifying ridges, troughs, and large‑scale flow patterns.

  • Units: gpm.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
cloud ceiling ens mean 0h-240h 2022-10-18
{"name":"HGT","level":"cloud ceiling","info":"ens mean"}
surface ens mean 0h 2020-10-01
{"name":"HGT","level":"surface","info":"ens mean"}
HLCY –Storm Relative Helicity (m^2/s^2)
1 variant
NOAA GRIB2 Table 4.2-0-2

Storm-relative helicity measures the potential for streamwise vorticity to be ingested by a storm updraft. Higher values suggest a greater likelihood of rotating updrafts.

  • Units: m^2/s^2.
  • Commonly evaluated in the lowest 1 to 3 km layer.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
3000-0 m above ground ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"HLCY","level":"3000-0 m above ground","info":"ens mean"}
ICETK –Ice Thickness (m)
1 variant
NOAA GRIB2 Table 4.2-0-1

Ice thickness is the physical thickness of sea or lake ice. It is important for marine navigation and heat exchange.

  • Units: m.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
surface ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"ICETK","level":"surface","info":"ens mean"}
PRES –Pressure (Pa)
1 variant
NOAA GRIB2 Table 4.2-0-3

Pressure is the atmospheric pressure at the specified level. It is a fundamental mass-field variable for dynamics and thermodynamics.

  • Units: Pa.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
surface ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"PRES","level":"surface","info":"ens mean"}
PRMSL –Pressure Reduced to Mean Sea Level (Pa)
1 variant
NOAA GRIB2 Table 4.2-0-3

Pressure reduced to mean sea level is MSLP computed from surface pressure and temperature. It is used to locate highs and lows.

  • Units: Pa.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
mean sea level ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"PRMSL","level":"mean sea level","info":"ens mean"}
PWAT –Precipitable Water (kg/m^2)
1 variant
NOAA GRIB2 Table 4.2-0-1

Precipitable water is the total column water vapor from the surface to the top of the atmosphere. It is a key moisture indicator.

  • Units: kg/m^2.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
entire atmosphere (considered as a single layer) ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"PWAT","level":"entire atmosphere (considered as a single layer)","info":"ens mean"}
RH –Relative Humidity (percent)
1 variant
NOAA GRIB2 Table 4.2-0-1

Relative humidity describes how close the air is to saturation at the specified level. High values favor cloud formation.

  • Units: percent.
  • Higher values indicate more atmospheric moisture and greater cloud or precip potential.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
2 m above ground ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"RH","level":"2 m above ground","info":"ens mean"}
SNOD –Snow Depth (m)
1 variant
NOAA GRIB2 Table 4.2-0-1

Snow depth is the physical thickness of the snowpack. It is distinct from snow water equivalent, which measures water content.

  • Units: m.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
surface ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"SNOD","level":"surface","info":"ens mean"}
SOILW –Volumetric Soil Moisture Content (Fraction)
1 variant
NOAA GRIB2 Table 4.2-2-0

Volumetric soil moisture is the fraction of soil volume occupied by water. It is commonly used in hydrology and drought monitoring.

  • Units: Fraction.
  • Soil state affects evapotranspiration and boundary-layer moisture.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
0-0.1 m below ground ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"SOILW","level":"0-0.1 m below ground","info":"ens mean"}
TMAX –Maximum Temperature (K)
1 variant
NOAA GRIB2 Table 4.2-0-0

Maximum temperature is the highest temperature reached during the output period. It is commonly used for heat stress and daily extremes.

  • Units: K.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
2 m above ground ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"TMAX","level":"2 m above ground","info":"ens mean"}
TMIN –Minimum Temperature (K)
1 variant
NOAA GRIB2 Table 4.2-0-0

Minimum temperature is the lowest temperature reached during the output period. It is commonly used for frost and cold-stress assessment.

  • Units: K.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
2 m above ground ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"TMIN","level":"2 m above ground","info":"ens mean"}
TMP –Temperature (K)
1 variant
NOAA GRIB2 Table 4.2-0-0

Air temperature is the thermal state of the atmosphere at the specified level. It influences density, stability, and energy exchange.

  • Units: K.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
2 m above ground ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"TMP","level":"2 m above ground","info":"ens mean"}
TSOIL –Soil Temperature (K)
1 variant
NOAA GRIB2 Table 4.2-0-0

Soil temperature describes the thermal state of the soil layer. It affects ground heat flux and freeze/thaw processes.

  • Units: K.
  • Soil state affects evapotranspiration and boundary-layer moisture.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
0-0.1 m below ground ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"TSOIL","level":"0-0.1 m below ground","info":"ens mean"}
UGRD –U-Component of Wind (m/s)
1 variant
NOAA GRIB2 Table 4.2-0-2

U‑component of wind is the east‑west component of the horizontal wind. Combine with v for speed and direction.

  • Units: m/s.
  • Combine u and v components to compute speed and direction.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
10 m above ground ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"UGRD","level":"10 m above ground","info":"ens mean"}
VGRD –V-Component of Wind (m/s)
1 variant
NOAA GRIB2 Table 4.2-0-2

V‑component of wind is the north‑south component of the horizontal wind. Combine with u for speed and direction.

  • Units: m/s.
  • Combine u and v components to compute speed and direction.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
10 m above ground ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"VGRD","level":"10 m above ground","info":"ens mean"}
WEASD –Water Equivalent of Accumulated Snow Depth (kg/m^2)
1 variant
NOAA GRIB2 Table 4.2-0-1

Snow water equivalent (SWE) is the total liquid water stored in the snowpack. It integrates depth and density of existing snow.

  • Units: kg/m^2.
  • Accumulations represent water-equivalent depth over the output interval; rates describe intensity.
Level Info Horizon Introduced Selector
surface ens mean 0h-240h 2020-10-01
{"name":"WEASD","level":"surface","info":"ens mean"}

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