ifsenfoprob0p1 · Probabilità ECMWF (%) di almeno 25 mm di precipitazione dal 29 ottobre alle 12 UTC al 30 ottobre alle 12 UTC (24 ore). Esempio storico: ciclo del 20 ottobre 2026 alle 12 UTC; valido il 30 ottobre alle 12 UTC (+240 h). Rappresentazione con la cella più vicina sulla griglia da 0.1°. Fonte: ECMWF, CC BY 4.0; grafico: GribStream.
Informazioni sulla previsione
Probabilità ECMWF a 0.1° di pioggia e raffiche su 24 ore e anomalie termiche a 850 hPa, fino a 15 giorni.
Che cos’è ECMWF IFS?
IFS significa Integrated Forecasting System, il sistema integrato di previsione. Il Centro europeo per le previsioni meteorologiche a medio termine (ECMWF) lo sviluppa in collaborazione con Météo-France. Assimila le osservazioni e calcola l’evoluzione del sistema Terra mediante equazioni fisiche, con scambi tra atmosfera, suolo, oceano e onde. Questi prodotti coprono il breve e medio termine, fino a 15 giorni; ECMWF sviluppa anche la famiglia AIFS, basata sull’apprendimento automatico. Documentazione ECMWF.
A cosa serve questo prodotto
Il prodotto esprime l’ensemble IFS come probabilità di eventi definiti, per esempio almeno 25 mm di pioggia in 24 ore. Le anomalie a 850 hPa sono scostamenti dalla climatologia del modello e aiutano a identificare masse d’aria insolitamente calde o fredde. Documentazione ECMWF.
16 campi: sette soglie di pioggia (1–100 mm), tre soglie di raffiche a 10 m (10, 15 e 25 m/s) e sei anomalie termiche (±1, ±1.5 e ±2 deviazioni standard).
Valori da 0 a 100%. Pioggia e raffiche usano info="24h" e l’ora finale della finestra; le anomalie istantanee usano info vuoto. Le soglie di anomalia non sono gradi Celsius.
La griglia di latitudine e longitudine da 0.1° rappresenta la stessa previsione IFS dei prodotti da 0.25°. Comprende 3.600 × 1.801 punti, distanti circa 11 km da nord a sud. Il modello atmosferico lavora a circa 9 km. L’uscita più fine conserva più dettaglio spaziale, ma da sola non dimostra una maggiore accuratezza locale. La distribuzione da 0.1° segue quella da 0.25° di circa due ore. Documentazione ECMWF.
Risoluzione: 0.1° · 3600 × 1801
Copertura temporale: 00 e 12 UTC, ogni 12 h fino a +360 h. Gli eventi istantanei iniziano a +12 h; le finestre di 24 ore terminano a +24, +36, …, +360 h e si sovrappongono di 12 h.
Usi principali: Valutazione del rischio di pioggia e vento, avvisi per soglia e prospettive di anomalie calde o fredde.
00 e 12 UTC, ogni 12 h fino a +360 h. Gli eventi istantanei iniziano a +12 h; le finestre di 24 ore terminano a +24, +36, …, +360 h e si sovrappongono di 12 h.
Fai clic su un parametro per vedere le varianti in una tabella compatta con selettori JSON pronti da copiare. Codici, livelli e valori dei selettori restano esattamente come li espone l'API.
10fgg10–Probability of 24-hour maximum 10 m wind gust at least 10 m/s (%)
Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated gust threshold over the preceding 24 hours.
Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level
Info
Horizon
Selector
sfc
24h
24h-360h
{"name":"10fgg10","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
10fgg15–Probability of 24-hour maximum 10 m wind gust at least 15 m/s (%)
Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated gust threshold over the preceding 24 hours.
Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level
Info
Horizon
Selector
sfc
24h
24h-360h
{"name":"10fgg15","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
10fgg25–Probability of 24-hour maximum 10 m wind gust at least 25 m/s (%)
Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated gust threshold over the preceding 24 hours.
Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level
Info
Horizon
Selector
sfc
24h
24h-360h
{"name":"10fgg25","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
ptsa_gt_1p5stdev–Probability of temperature standardized anomaly greater than 1.5 standard deviations (%)
Instantaneous probability at 850 hPa, expressed in percent. The threshold applies to the standardized anomaly, not absolute temperature.
Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Instantaneous probability at 850 hPa, expressed in percent. The threshold applies to the standardized anomaly, not absolute temperature.
Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Instantaneous probability at 850 hPa, expressed in percent. The threshold applies to the standardized anomaly, not absolute temperature.
Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Instantaneous probability at 850 hPa, expressed in percent. The threshold applies to the standardized anomaly, not absolute temperature.
Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Instantaneous probability at 850 hPa, expressed in percent. The threshold applies to the standardized anomaly, not absolute temperature.
Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Instantaneous probability at 850 hPa, expressed in percent. The threshold applies to the standardized anomaly, not absolute temperature.
Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.
Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level
Info
Horizon
Selector
sfc
24h
24h-360h
{"name":"tpg1","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
tpg10–Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 10 mm (%)
Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.
Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level
Info
Horizon
Selector
sfc
24h
24h-360h
{"name":"tpg10","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
tpg100–Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 100 mm (%)
Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.
Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level
Info
Horizon
Selector
sfc
24h
24h-360h
{"name":"tpg100","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
tpg20–Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 20 mm (%)
Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.
Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level
Info
Horizon
Selector
sfc
24h
24h-360h
{"name":"tpg20","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
tpg25–Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 25 mm (%)
Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.
Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level
Info
Horizon
Selector
sfc
24h
24h-360h
{"name":"tpg25","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
tpg5–Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 5 mm (%)
Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.
Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level
Info
Horizon
Selector
sfc
24h
24h-360h
{"name":"tpg5","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
tpg50–Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 50 mm (%)
Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.
Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.