GribStream

ECMWF IFS ENS 0.1°: Wetterwahrscheinlichkeiten

GribStream-Code: ifsenfoprob0p1

ECMWF IFS ENS 0.1°: Wetterwahrscheinlichkeiten: ECMWF-Wahrscheinlichkeit (%) für mindestens 25 mm Niederschlag vom 29. Oktober 12 UTC bis 30. Oktober 12 UTC (24 Stunden).
ifsenfoprob0p1 · ECMWF-Wahrscheinlichkeit (%) für mindestens 25 mm Niederschlag vom 29. Oktober 12 UTC bis 30. Oktober 12 UTC (24 Stunden). Historisches Beispiel: Lauf vom 20. Oktober 2026, 12 UTC; gültig am 30. Oktober, 12 UTC (+240 h). Darstellung mit der nächstgelegenen Zelle des 0.1°-Ausgabegitters. Quelle: ECMWF, CC BY 4.0; Grafik: GribStream.

Über diese Vorhersage

ECMWF-Wahrscheinlichkeiten mit 0.1° für 24-Stunden-Regen und Böen sowie Temperaturanomalien auf 850 hPa bis 15 Tage.

Was ist ECMWF IFS?

IFS steht für Integrated Forecasting System. Das Europäische Zentrum für mittelfristige Wettervorhersage (EZMW, englisch ECMWF) entwickelt es in Zusammenarbeit mit Météo-France. Datenassimilation verbindet Beobachtungen mit dem Modellzustand; physikalische Gleichungen beschreiben die weitere Entwicklung des Erdsystems. Atmosphäre, Land, Ozean und Wellen tauschen dabei Informationen aus. Diese Produkte gehören zur kurz- und mittelfristigen Vorhersage bis 15 Tage. Daneben entwickelt das EZMW die auf maschinellem Lernen basierende AIFS-Familie. ECMWF-Dokumentation.

Wofür sich dieses Produkt eignet

Dieses Produkt fasst das IFS-Ensemble für definierte Ereignisse zusammen, beispielsweise mindestens 25 mm Regen in 24 Stunden. Temperaturanomalien auf 850 hPa sind Abweichungen von der Modellklimatologie und zeigen ungewöhnlich warme oder kalte Luftmassen. ECMWF-Dokumentation.

Details

00 und 12 UTC, alle 12 h bis +360 h. Momentane Ereignisse beginnen bei +12 h; 24-Stunden-Fenster enden bei +24, +36, …, +360 h und überlappen sich um 12 h.
00 und 12 UTC, alle 12 h bis +360 h. Momentane Ereignisse beginnen bei +12 h; 24-Stunden-Fenster enden bei +24, +36, …, +360 h und überlappen sich um 12 h.

Verwandte Datasets

Parameter

Parameter suchen
0 Parameter

Klicken Sie auf einen Parameter, um Varianten in einer kompakten Tabelle mit kopierbaren JSON-Selektoren zu sehen. Codes, Levels und Selector-Werte bleiben exakt so, wie die API sie ausgibt.

10fgg10 –Probability of 24-hour maximum 10 m wind gust at least 10 m/s (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131100

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated gust threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"10fgg10","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
10fgg15 –Probability of 24-hour maximum 10 m wind gust at least 15 m/s (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131070

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated gust threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"10fgg15","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
10fgg25 –Probability of 24-hour maximum 10 m wind gust at least 25 m/s (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131072

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated gust threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"10fgg25","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
ptsa_gt_1p5stdev –Probability of temperature standardized anomaly greater than 1.5 standard deviations (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 133094

ECMWF param DB

Instantaneous probability at 850 hPa, expressed in percent. The threshold applies to the standardized anomaly, not absolute temperature.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
pl 850 12h-360h
{"name":"ptsa_gt_1p5stdev","level":"pl 850","info":""}
ptsa_gt_1stdev –Probability of temperature standardized anomaly greater than 1 standard deviations (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 133093

ECMWF param DB

Instantaneous probability at 850 hPa, expressed in percent. The threshold applies to the standardized anomaly, not absolute temperature.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
pl 850 12h-360h
{"name":"ptsa_gt_1stdev","level":"pl 850","info":""}
ptsa_gt_2stdev –Probability of temperature standardized anomaly greater than 2 standard deviations (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 133095

ECMWF param DB

Instantaneous probability at 850 hPa, expressed in percent. The threshold applies to the standardized anomaly, not absolute temperature.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
pl 850 12h-360h
{"name":"ptsa_gt_2stdev","level":"pl 850","info":""}
ptsa_lt_1p5stdev –Probability of temperature standardized anomaly less than -1.5 standard deviations (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 133097

ECMWF param DB

Instantaneous probability at 850 hPa, expressed in percent. The threshold applies to the standardized anomaly, not absolute temperature.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
pl 850 12h-360h
{"name":"ptsa_lt_1p5stdev","level":"pl 850","info":""}
ptsa_lt_1stdev –Probability of temperature standardized anomaly less than -1 standard deviations (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 133096

ECMWF param DB

Instantaneous probability at 850 hPa, expressed in percent. The threshold applies to the standardized anomaly, not absolute temperature.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
pl 850 12h-360h
{"name":"ptsa_lt_1stdev","level":"pl 850","info":""}
ptsa_lt_2stdev –Probability of temperature standardized anomaly less than -2 standard deviations (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 133098

ECMWF param DB

Instantaneous probability at 850 hPa, expressed in percent. The threshold applies to the standardized anomaly, not absolute temperature.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
pl 850 12h-360h
{"name":"ptsa_lt_2stdev","level":"pl 850","info":""}
tpg1 –Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 1 mm (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131060

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"tpg1","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
tpg10 –Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 10 mm (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131062

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"tpg10","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
tpg100 –Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 100 mm (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131085

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"tpg100","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
tpg20 –Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 20 mm (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131063

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"tpg20","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
tpg25 –Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 25 mm (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131098

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"tpg25","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
tpg5 –Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 5 mm (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131061

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"tpg5","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
tpg50 –Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 50 mm (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131099

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"tpg50","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}

Keine Parameter passen zur Suche.