GribStream

ECMWF IFS ENS 0.1°: probabilidades meteorológicas

Código GribStream: ifsenfoprob0p1

ECMWF IFS ENS 0.1°: probabilidades meteorológicas: Probabilidad ECMWF (%) de al menos 25 mm de precipitación entre el 29 de octubre a las 12 UTC y el 30 a las 12 UTC (24 horas).
ifsenfoprob0p1 · Probabilidad ECMWF (%) de al menos 25 mm de precipitación entre el 29 de octubre a las 12 UTC y el 30 a las 12 UTC (24 horas). Ejemplo histórico: ciclo del 20 de octubre de 2026 a las 12 UTC; válido el 30 de octubre a las 12 UTC (+240 h). Representación por celda más cercana de la grilla de 0.1°. Fuente: ECMWF, CC BY 4.0; gráfico: GribStream.

Sobre este pronóstico

Probabilidades ECMWF a 0.1° de lluvia y ráfagas en 24 horas y anomalías de temperatura a 850 hPa, hasta 15 días.

¿Qué es ECMWF IFS?

IFS significa Integrated Forecasting System, o Sistema Integrado de Predicción. Lo desarrolla el Centro Europeo de Predicción Meteorológica a Plazo Medio (ECMWF) en colaboración con Météo-France. Integra observaciones mediante asimilación de datos y calcula la evolución del sistema terrestre con ecuaciones físicas. Sus componentes de atmósfera, suelo, océano y oleaje intercambian información. Estos productos cubren el corto y medio plazo, hasta 15 días; ECMWF también desarrolla la familia AIFS, basada en aprendizaje automático. Documentación de ECMWF.

Para qué sirve este producto

Este producto resume el ensemble IFS como probabilidades de eventos definidos, por ejemplo al menos 25 mm de lluvia en 24 horas. Las anomalías térmicas expresan desviaciones respecto de la climatología del modelo a 850 hPa, útiles para identificar masas de aire inusualmente cálidas o frías. Documentación de ECMWF.

Detalle

00 y 12 UTC, cada 12 h hasta +360 h. Los eventos instantáneos empiezan en +12 h; los de 24 horas terminan en +24, +36, …, +360 h, con 12 h de superposición entre ventanas.
00 y 12 UTC, cada 12 h hasta +360 h. Los eventos instantáneos empiezan en +12 h; los de 24 horas terminan en +24, +36, …, +360 h, con 12 h de superposición entre ventanas.

Datasets relacionados

Parámetros

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Haz clic en un parámetro para ver sus variantes en una tabla compacta con selectores JSON listos para copiar. Los códigos, niveles y valores de selector se mantienen exactamente como los expone la API.

10fgg10 –Probability of 24-hour maximum 10 m wind gust at least 10 m/s (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131100

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated gust threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"10fgg10","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
10fgg15 –Probability of 24-hour maximum 10 m wind gust at least 15 m/s (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131070

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated gust threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"10fgg15","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
10fgg25 –Probability of 24-hour maximum 10 m wind gust at least 25 m/s (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131072

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated gust threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"10fgg25","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
ptsa_gt_1p5stdev –Probability of temperature standardized anomaly greater than 1.5 standard deviations (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 133094

ECMWF param DB

Instantaneous probability at 850 hPa, expressed in percent. The threshold applies to the standardized anomaly, not absolute temperature.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
pl 850 12h-360h
{"name":"ptsa_gt_1p5stdev","level":"pl 850","info":""}
ptsa_gt_1stdev –Probability of temperature standardized anomaly greater than 1 standard deviations (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 133093

ECMWF param DB

Instantaneous probability at 850 hPa, expressed in percent. The threshold applies to the standardized anomaly, not absolute temperature.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
pl 850 12h-360h
{"name":"ptsa_gt_1stdev","level":"pl 850","info":""}
ptsa_gt_2stdev –Probability of temperature standardized anomaly greater than 2 standard deviations (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 133095

ECMWF param DB

Instantaneous probability at 850 hPa, expressed in percent. The threshold applies to the standardized anomaly, not absolute temperature.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
pl 850 12h-360h
{"name":"ptsa_gt_2stdev","level":"pl 850","info":""}
ptsa_lt_1p5stdev –Probability of temperature standardized anomaly less than -1.5 standard deviations (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 133097

ECMWF param DB

Instantaneous probability at 850 hPa, expressed in percent. The threshold applies to the standardized anomaly, not absolute temperature.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
pl 850 12h-360h
{"name":"ptsa_lt_1p5stdev","level":"pl 850","info":""}
ptsa_lt_1stdev –Probability of temperature standardized anomaly less than -1 standard deviations (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 133096

ECMWF param DB

Instantaneous probability at 850 hPa, expressed in percent. The threshold applies to the standardized anomaly, not absolute temperature.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
pl 850 12h-360h
{"name":"ptsa_lt_1stdev","level":"pl 850","info":""}
ptsa_lt_2stdev –Probability of temperature standardized anomaly less than -2 standard deviations (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 133098

ECMWF param DB

Instantaneous probability at 850 hPa, expressed in percent. The threshold applies to the standardized anomaly, not absolute temperature.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
pl 850 12h-360h
{"name":"ptsa_lt_2stdev","level":"pl 850","info":""}
tpg1 –Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 1 mm (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131060

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"tpg1","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
tpg10 –Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 10 mm (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131062

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"tpg10","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
tpg100 –Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 100 mm (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131085

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"tpg100","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
tpg20 –Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 20 mm (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131063

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"tpg20","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
tpg25 –Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 25 mm (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131098

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"tpg25","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
tpg5 –Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 5 mm (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131061

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"tpg5","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}
tpg50 –Probability of 24-hour total precipitation at least 50 mm (%)
1 variant

Parameter ID 131099

ECMWF param DB

Percentage of the ensemble reaching the stated precipitation threshold over the preceding 24 hours.

  • Values are percentages (0–100). Daily event selectors use info=24h and are timestamped at the end of a rolling 24-hour window; consecutive windows overlap by 12 hours. Instantaneous anomaly selectors use empty info.
Level Info Horizon Selector
sfc 24h 24h-360h
{"name":"tpg50","level":"sfc","info":"24h"}

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